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Interpolation of monthly precipitation amounts in mountainous catchments with sparse precipitation networks

机译:用稀疏降水网络对山区流域的月降水量进行插值

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Most studies dealing with the interpolation of precipitation gauge data have focused in areas where the meteorological network is relatively dense, implying that it is still unknown what interpolation methods are more appropriate in the case of mountain catchments with scarce gauge data. This study evaluates the applicability of Kriging with External Drift (KED) and the Optimal Interpolation Method (OIM) for interpolation of monthly precipitation in these situations. Thiessen Polygons (TP) are used as benchmark. The study area corresponds to the upper subcatchment of Aconcagua River, Central Chile. Cross-validation experiments revealed that all these methods show similar performance in the lower zone of the study area, but OIM outperforms TP and KED at high elevations. Optimal Interpolation Method generally produces the smallest bias in the Andean zone of the study area, with mean errors whose absolute values are smaller than 9% of mean monthly precipitation. From April to September, the root mean squared errors of OIM are between 14% and 33% smaller than those of TP and KED in this zone. Although KED achieves a good agreement to mean monthly values at high elevations (mean errors smaller than 19% in absolute value), its performance is comparable to that of TP in terms of root mean squared errors. Long-term water balances did not provide evidence against the applicability of KED and OIM. Nevertheless, the results of the cross-validation experiments indicate that OIM is a better alternative than KED for the interpolation of monthly precipitation in the study area.
机译:大多数有关降水量表数据插值的研究都集中在气象网络相对密集的区域,这意味着对于采用稀少量表数据的山区流域,哪种插值方法更合适仍然是未知的。这项研究评估了外部漂移克里金法(KED)和最佳插值方法(OIM)在这些情况下对月降水量插值的适用性。蒂森多边形(TP)被用作基准。研究区域对应于智利中部阿空加瓜河的上游子汇水面积。交叉验证实验表明,所有这些方法在研究区域的较低区域均表现出相似的性能,但在高海拔地区,OIM的性能优于TP和KED。最佳插值方法通常在研究区域的安第斯地区产生最小的偏差,其平均误差的绝对值小于月平均降水量的9%。从4月到9月,该区域OIM的均方根误差比TP和KED的均方根误差小14%至33%。尽管KED在高海拔地区均达到月平均值(绝对误差均值小于19%)的良好协议,但就均方根误差而言,其性能可与TP媲美。长期的水平衡并未提供证据证明KED和OIM的适用性。尽管如此,交叉验证实验的结果表明,对于研究区域的月降水量插值,OIM比KED更好。

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