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Informality and structural transformation

机译:非正式性与结构转型

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In this paper, we investigate the evolution of the informal sector through structural transformation. We develop both a three-sector and a five-sector dynamic general equilibrium (DGE) model, which can simultaneously account for structural transformation between agriculture, industry and services, and between the informal and formal sectors. First, we incorporate the informal sector into an otherwise two-sector (agriculture and non agriculture) DGE model. Then, we augment this model and build a five-sector DGE model extending the non-agricultural sector into industry and services, to separately account for the evolution of informality in these two sectors. The calibrated model performs remarkably well in accounting for the evolution of the sectoral employment shares and the size of the informal sector. Finally, we use panel data econometric tools to investigate the empirical relationship between structural transformation and the informal sector and find a strong negative relationship between the size of non-agricultural sector and informality.
机译:在本文中,我们通过结构转型研究了非正规部门的演变。我们开发了三部门和五部门的动态一般均衡(DGE)模型,该模型可以同时说明农业,工业和服务业之间以及非正规部门和正规部门之间的结构转型。首先,我们将非正规部门纳入了另外两个部门(农业和非农业)的DGE模型中。然后,我们扩充此模型,并建立一个五部门DGE模型,将非农业部门扩展到工业和服务业,以分别说明这两个部门中非正规性的演变。经校准的模型在说明部门就业份额的演变和非正规部门的规模方面表现出色。最后,我们使用面板数据计量经济学工具研究结构转型与非正规部门之间的经验关系,并发现非农业部门规模与非正规性之间存在强烈的负相关关系。

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