Accelerated simulation of the failure probability of a system on the busy period for nonexponential distributions defining the processes of failure and restoration of elements

摘要

The main characteristic of reliability is the failure probability of a system given time interval. Many analytical, asymptotic, and statistical methods for its determination are based on preliminary estimation of the failure probability on a busy period, when at least one element is faulty(this characteristics is the same for nonrestorable systems). an overwhelming majority of methods is developed under the assumption on exponentiality of the time-to-failure distribution. In this case, the regenerating process technique can be effectively used.