IINTERBRANCH CHESSBOARD OF UNCERTAINTY AND ITS APPLICATIONS: FORECASTING, ECONOMIC POLICY,FISCAL RISK, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM

摘要

The paper proposes the methods to construct an interbranch uncertainty chessboard. With the use of real databases, volatility of direct requirements and interbranch flows of uncertainty are computed. Different applications are discussed, among them are general equilibrium, fiscal risk, stability of the national economy, entrepreneurship.