Statistical Relationships between Solar, Interplanetary, and Geomagnetic Disturbances, 1976-2000: 3

摘要

In this paper we continue the analysis of the influence of solar and interplanetary events on magnetic slorms of the Earth that was started in [9, 10]. Different experimental results on solar-terrestrial physics are analyzed in the study and the effects are determined that arise due to differences in the methods used to ana-lyze the data. The classifications of magnetic storms by the K_p and D_(st) indices, the solar flare classifications by optical and X-ray observations, and the classifications of different geoeffective interplanetary events are compared and discussed. It is demonstrated that quantitative estimations of the relationships between two types of events often depend on the direction in which the events are compared. In particular, it was demonstrated that the geoeffectiveness of halo CMEs (that is, the percentage of Earth-directed coronal mass ejections that result in geomagnetic storms) is 40-50%. Higher values given in some papers were obtained by another method, in which they were defined as the probability of finding candidates for a source of geomagnetic storms among CMEs, and, strictly speaking, these values are not true estimates of the geoeffectiveness. The latter results are also in contrast with the results of the two-stage tracing of the events: first a storm-an interplanetary disturbance, and then an interplanetary disturbance-a CME.