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Be Absolute for Death: Life after Moore's Law

机译:绝对死亡:摩尔定律之后的生活

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If there was ever a creator of wealth on a fantastic scale, ever a changer of custom and social values, ever a determinant of where our culture is headed and why, it's Moore's Law. Gordon Moore didn't so much invent his law as observe it—the apparently inexorable increase in the number of transistors that could be etched on the same silicon wafer. Moore's Law rule of thumb says computers will either double in power at the same price or halve in cost for the same power every 18 months. It's an insidious effect, one that has increased silicon density by a billion times in the last 50 years, and in the process placed more computing power in my wristwatch than was used to win World War II. But now some people predict Moore's Law is in danger of being repealed.
机译:如果曾经有过如此庞大的财富创造者,习惯和社会价值观的改变者,我们文化的发展方向和原因的决定因素,那就是摩尔定律。戈登·摩尔并没有像他观察到的那样发明他的定律,而是可以在同一硅片上蚀刻的晶体管数量明显增加。摩尔定律说,每18个月,计算机将以相同的价格将功率加倍,或者将相同功率的成本减半。这是一种隐患,在过去的50年中,硅的密度增加了十亿倍,在此过程中,我的手表拥有了比赢得第二次世界大战更多的计算能力。但是现在有人预测摩尔定律有被废除的危险。

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