IoT study on the total risk management and cluster-coordinated development based on synergy theory

摘要

Based on the new perspective of the financial crisis contagion channel of the international listed companies, this Paper aims to a real-time, targeted and international financial risk warning index system of listed companies and synthesize the financial stress index of listed company that adapt to China's situations from such three dimensions as foreign exchange market, banking industry and stock market. The empirical study of financial risk early warning in Chinese listed companies based on the Markov regime-switching model has shown that the M2/GDP growth rate, the volatility of stock market and the foreign trade dependence have a positive relationship with the current financial risk of the listed companies in China; stock market returns and foreign exchange reserves/GDP have inverse relationship with the financial risks of listed companies; the financial risks of listed companies in China mainly come from the excessively loose monetary policy during the crisis and the imperfection of the stock market and its regulatory system. The forecast shows that China will be in the state of low financial risk in listed companies from 2014 to 2015. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.