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首页> 外文期刊>Calcutta statistical association bulletin >STUDY ON DIFFUSION OF RUMOURS THROUGH EPIDEMIC MODELS UNDER NON IDENTICAL SET UP
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STUDY ON DIFFUSION OF RUMOURS THROUGH EPIDEMIC MODELS UNDER NON IDENTICAL SET UP

机译:非相同设置下通过流行病模型传播谣言的研究

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摘要

The spread of rumour can be modelled easily by using epidemic models because of the similarity in underlying processes. The present paper attempts to study diffusion of rumours through a simple epidemic model, taking into account two possible sources of rumour viz primary and secondary. Since the behavior of different persons involved under the process will be different and also the rate of spread will be time dependent the underlying variables will not be independent and identical. The process has been studied through simulation and the process average has been compared with the average obtained from an established theoretical result. The objective of the study is to predict the number of hearers at a particular time point by using the proposed model.
机译:由于基本过程的相似性,可以使用流行病模型轻松地对谣言的传播进行建模。本文尝试通过简单的流行病模型研究谣言的传播,同时考虑到谣言的两个可能来源,即主要和次要。由于此过程涉及的不同人员的行为将有所不同,并且传播速度将随时间而变,因此基本变量将不是独立且相同的。通过模拟研究了该过程,并将过程平均值与从确定的理论结果获得的平均值进行了比较。该研究的目的是通过使用建议的模型来预测特定时间点的听众人数。

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