What Will Change

摘要

Biden teams with Europe to restrain China. "The Democrats are more likely to link economic, strategic, and human-rights concerns, taking relations into an even more difficult period." Trump keeps the heat on China, though having won reelection he could revert to "my buddy Xi." Biden might nominate a relative centrist in the Elena Kagan mold to fill a Supreme Court vacancy, since the GOP would reject someone more liberal. Still lacking 60 votes, Dems use reconciliation procedure to pass tax- and spending-related legislation with a simple majority that's exempt from filibuster. Lame-duck status could set in quickly. "Generally second-term presidents who don't have a strong base in Congress tend to not get a whole lot done." He pursues a lawsuit to have the Affordable Care Act declared unconstitutional. Dems push a policing bill that conditions federal aid on more training and accountability for officers. Congress shores up the social safety net with more Covid-19 aid, food stamps, and extended jobless benefits. A "bonfire" for rulebooks as Trump continues deregulation.