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A Closer Look at the 'New' Principle

机译:仔细研究“新”原则

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摘要

David Lewis, Michael Thau, and Ned Hall have recently argued that the Principal Principle—an inferential rule underlying much of our reasoning about probability—is inadequate in certain respects, and that something called the 'New Principle' ought to take its place. This paper argues that the Principle Principal need not be discarded. On the contrary, Lewis et al. can get everything they need— including the New Principle—from the intuitions and inferential habits that inspire the Principal Principle itself, while avoiding the problems that originally caused them to abandon that principle.
机译:戴维·刘易斯(David Lewis),迈克·图(Michael Thau)和内德·霍尔(Ned Hall)最近争辩说,在某些方面,主要原则是我们对概率进行推理的基础的推论性规则,在某些方面是不充分的,应采用“新原则”代替。本文认为原则委托人不必丢弃。相反,刘易斯等。可以从启发主要原则本身的直觉和推论习惯中获得他们需要的一切,包括新原则,同时避免最初导致他们放弃该原则的问题。

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