Are renewables at risk in Indonesia's new plan?

摘要

Indonesia's new Electricity Supply Business Plan 2019 (RUPTL) slashed the forecast for electricity demand growth to 6.42% for 2019-2028 (from 6.86% for 2018-2027) as a response to criticisms of the reliability of past estimates. However, Institute of Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) energy finance consultant Melissa Brown argued that the lower forecast could only urge much bigger cutbacks in planned grid expenditures for transmission and distribution (T&D) including additions for network and distribution substations, and thus curb future renewable capacity additions.