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CHINA'S POPULATION TRENDS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR FERTILITY POLICY

机译:中国的人口趋势及其对生育政策的影响

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This research used spatial and comparative approaches to examine China's fertility trends, their positive and negative impacts on economic growth, and possible policy remedies to effectively deal with the challenges. The data were derived from the China 2000 Population Census, China Statistical Yearbook, the United Nations Population Database and the World Population Data Sheet of the Population Reference Bureau. By comparing China with other Asian societies, this paper provides empirical and theoretical support for five points, namely, that China has had the world's largest number of people with very low fertility since at least 2000, that it is one of the fastest ageing countries in world history, that rapid ageing threatens China's economic sustainability, that the demographic dividend needs to be examined in the context of labour supply transition, and that China needs to abandon its one-child policy immediately to deal with the challenges to its economic sustainability.View full textDownload full textKeywordsfertility trends, economic sustainability, demographic dividend, population policies, China, AsiaRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2010.512762
机译:这项研究使用空间和比较方法研究了中国的生育率趋势,它们对经济增长的正面和负面影响,以及有效应对挑战的可能的政策措施。数据来自《中国2000年人口普查》,《中国统计年鉴》,联合国人口数据库和人口参考局的世界人口数据表。通过将中国与其他亚洲社会进行比较,本文为以下五点提供了经验和理论支持,即,自2000年以来,中国的人口出生率一直处于世界最低水平,是中国人口老化最快的国家之一。世界历史,迅速老龄化威胁着中国的经济可持续性,需要在劳动力供给过渡的背景下检查人口红利,中国需要立即放弃其独生子女政策以应对对其经济可持续性的挑战。全文下载关键字关键字生育率趋势,经济可持续性,人口红利,人口政策,中国,亚洲相关var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand:“泰勒和弗朗西斯在线”,servicescompact:“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon, digg,google,more“,发布号:” ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b“};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2010.512762

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