BAYESIAN STUDY OF A TWO-COMPONENT SYSTEM WITH COMMON-CAUSE SHOCK FAILURES

摘要

The steady-state availability of a two-component system in series and parallel subject to individual failures (I-failures) and common-cause shock (CCS) failures is studied from a Bayesian viewpoint with different types of priors assumed for the unknown parameters in the system. Monte Carlo simulation is used to derive the posterior distribution for the steady-state availability and subsequently the highest posterior density intervals. A numerical example illustrates the results.