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首页> 外文期刊>The American economic review >Nonlinear Persistence and Partial Insurance: Income and Consumption Dynamics in the PSID
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Nonlinear Persistence and Partial Insurance: Income and Consumption Dynamics in the PSID

机译:非线性持久性和部分保险:PSID中的收入和消费动态

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摘要

In this paper we highlight the important role the PSID has played in our understanding of income dynamics and consumption insurance, see for example, Krueger and Perri (2006); Blundell, Pistaferri, and Preston (2008), henceforth, (BPP); and Guvenen and Smith (2014). In the partial insurance approach, transmission parameters are specified that link "shocks" to income with consumption growth. These transmission parameters can change across time and may differ across individuals reflecting the degree of "insurance" available. They encompass self-insurance through simple credit markets as well as other mechanisms used to smooth consumption.We explore the nonlinear nature of income shocks and describe a new quantile-based panel data framework for income dynamics, developed in Arellano, Blundell, and Bonhomme (ABB 2017). In this approach the persistence of past income shocks is allowed to vary according to the size and sign of the current shock. We find that the model provides a good match with data on family earnings and on individual wages from the PSID. We confirm the results onincome dynamics using the extensive population register data from Norway.
机译:在本文中,我们着重强调了PSID在理解收入动态和消费保险方面所起的重要作用,例如,参见Krueger和Perri(2006)。布伦德尔,皮斯塔费里和普雷斯顿(2008),从今以后(BPP); Guvenen和Smith(2014)。在部分保险方法中,指定了将“冲击”与收入与消费增长联系起来的传输参数。这些传输参数可以随时间变化,并且可能因个体而异,反映出可用的“保险”程度。它们包括通过简单的信贷市场以及用于平滑消费的其他机制进行的自我保险。我们探索了收入冲击的非线性性质,并描述了在Arellano,Blundell和Bonhomme中开发的,基于分位数的,用于收入动态的面板数据框架( ABB 2017)。在这种方法中,允许过去的收入冲击的持续时间根据当前冲击的规模和迹象而变化。我们发现该模型与PSID的家庭收入和个人工资数据非常匹配。我们使用来自挪威的大量人口登记数据确认了收入动态的结果。

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