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Modelling diseases with relapse and nonlinear incidence of infection: a multi-group epidemic model

机译:具有复发和感染非线性发生的疾病模型:多组流行病模型

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摘要

In this paper, we introduce a basic reproduction number for a multi-group SIR model with general relapse distribution and nonlinear incidence rate. We find that basic reproduction number plays the role of a key threshold in establishing the global dynamics of the model. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functionals, a subtle grouping technique in estimating the derivatives of Lyapunov functionals guided by graph-theoretical approach and LaSalle invariance principle, it is proven that if it is less than or equal to one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease dies out; whereas if it is larger than one, some sufficient condition is obtained in ensuring that there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally stable and thus the disease persists in the population. Furthermore, our results suggest that general relapse distribution are not the reason of sustained oscillations. Biologically, our model might be realistic for sexually transmitted diseases, such as Herpes, Condyloma acuminatum, etc.
机译:在本文中,我们介绍了具有一般复发分布和非线性发生率的多组SIR模型的基本再现数。我们发现基本复制数在建立模型的全局动力学中起着关键阈值的作用。通过适当的Lyapunov泛函,这是一种在图论方法和LaSalle不变性原则的指导下估算Lyapunov泛函的微妙分组技术,证明了如果小于或等于1,则无病平衡是全局性的稳定,疾病消失;反之,如果大于1,则可以确保某些独特的地方病平衡,该病在全球范围内是稳定的,因此该病在人群中仍然存在,因此可以获得一定的条件。此外,我们的结果表明,总体复发分布不是持续振荡的原因。从生物学上讲,我们的模型对于诸如疱疹,尖锐湿疣等性传播疾病可能是现实的。

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