首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>Springer Open Choice >Forms of uncertainty reduction: decision valuation and contest
【2h】

Forms of uncertainty reduction: decision valuation and contest

机译:减少不确定性的形式:决策评估和竞争

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。

摘要

Uncertainty is an intriguing aspect of social life. Uncertainty is epistemic, future-oriented, and implies that we can neither predict nor foresee what will happen when acting. In cases in which no institutionalized certainty about future states exists, or can be generated, judgment is needed. This article presents the forms by which uncertainty is reduced as a result of judgments made about different alternatives in a process involving several actors. This type of uncertainty may exist, for example, about which artist is the best, which offer in the market is more valuable, which football team is better than all the rest, or which research proposal will get a grant. The result of different forms of uncertainty reduction is increased certainty concerning alternatives in relation to one another, such as good and bad, rank lists, scores, quality assessment, and “winner and losers.” Based on the result, uncertainty is reduced and action is facilitated. The forms are structural and comprise roles; may be legitimate in a smaller or larger domain; and may exist in all spheres of life, as exemplified in sports competitions, in labor markets, and in the ranking of universities. Three forms of uncertainty reduction based on judgment are identified in this article: (1) decision, made by an authority; (2) valuation, by means of which order arises as a result of actors ascribing values; and (3) contest, by which an order is the result of direct struggle.
机译:不确定性是社会生活中一个有趣的方面。不确定性是认知的,面向未来的,它意味着我们既不能预测也不能预测行动时会发生什么。在不存在或无法产生关于未来状态的制度化确定性的情况下,需要做出判断。本文介绍了通过在涉及多个参与者的过程中对不同替代方案做出判断而减少不确定性的形式。这种类型的不确定性可能存在,例如,关于哪个艺术家是最好的,哪个市场的报价更有价值,哪个足球队比所有其他球队更好,或者哪个研究计划将获得资助这样的不确定性。不同形式的不确定性减少的结果是,彼此之间关于备选方案的确定性增加,例如好与坏,等级列表,分数,质量评估以及“赢家和输家”。根据结果​​,减少了不确定性并促进了行动。形式是结构性的,包含角色;在较小或较大的域中可能是合法的;并且可能存在于所有生活领域,例如体育比赛,劳动力市场和大学排名中的例子。本文确定了基于判断的三种减少不确定性的形式:(1)由权威机构做出的决策; (2)估价,由于行为者将价值确定为估价而产生的顺序; (3)竞争,命令是直接斗争的结果。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
代理获取

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号