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Childbearing intentions in a low fertility context: the case of Romania

机译:低生育率背景下的生育意愿:罗马尼亚的情况

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摘要

This paper applies the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to find out the predictors of fertility intentions in Romania, a low-fertility country. We analyse how attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioural control relate to the intention to have a child among childless individuals and one-child parents. Principal axis factor analysis confirms which items proposed by the Generation and Gender Survey (GGS 2005) act as valid and reliable measures of the suggested theoretical socio-psychological factors. Four parity-specific logistic regression models are applied to evaluate the relationship between the socio-psychological factors and childbearing intentions. Social pressure emerges as the most important aspect in fertility decision-making among childless individuals and one-child parents, and positive attitudes towards childbearing are a strong component in planning for a child. This paper also underlines the importance of the region-specific factors when studying childbearing intentions: planning for the second child significantly differs among the development regions, representing the cultural and socio-economic divisions of the Romanian territory.
机译:本文运用计划行为理论(TPB)来找出低生育率国家罗马尼亚的生育意愿的预测因素。我们分析了态度,主观规范和感知的行为控制如何与无子女个人和独生子女父母中生育孩子的意图相关。主轴因素分析确认了世代和性别调查(GGS 2005)提出的哪些项目可作为对建议的理论社会心理因素的有效且可靠的度量。应用四个特定于奇偶性的逻辑回归模型来评估社会心理因素与生育意愿之间的关系。社会压力已成为无子女个人和独生子女父母生育决策中最重要的方面,对生育的积极态度是计划生育的重要组成部分。本文还强调了研究生育意图时特定地区因素的重要性:发展中地区的第二个孩子的计划存在很大差异,代表了罗马尼亚领土的文化和社会经济划分。

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