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Bayesian Multimodel Inference for Geostatistical Regression Models

机译:地统计回归模型的贝叶斯多模型推断

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摘要

The problem of simultaneous covariate selection and parameter inference for spatial regression models is considered. Previous research has shown that failure to take spatial correlation into account can influence the outcome of standard model selection methods. A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is investigated for the calculation of parameter estimates and posterior model probabilities for spatial regression models. The method can accommodate normal and non-normal response data and a large number of covariates. Thus the method is very flexible and can be used to fit spatial linear models, spatial linear mixed models, and spatial generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). The Bayesian MCMC method also allows a priori unequal weighting of covariates, which is not possible with many model selection methods such as Akaike's information criterion (AIC). The proposed method is demonstrated on two data sets. The first is the whiptail lizard data set which has been previously analyzed by other researchers investigating model selection methods. Our results confirmed the previous analysis suggesting that sandy soil and ant abundance were strongly associated with lizard abundance. The second data set concerned pollution tolerant fish abundance in relation to several environmental factors. Results indicate that abundance is positively related to Strahler stream order and a habitat quality index. Abundance is negatively related to percent watershed disturbance.
机译:考虑了空间回归模型的同时协变量选择和参数推断问题。先前的研究表明,不考虑空间相关性会影响标准模型选择方法的结果。研究了马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法用于空间回归模型的参数估计和后验模型概率的计算。该方法可以容纳正常和非正常响应数据以及大量协变量。因此,该方法非常灵活,可用于拟合空间线性模型,空间线性混合模型和空间广义线性混合模型(GLMM)。贝叶斯MCMC方法还允许对协变量进行先验不等式加权,这对于许多模型选择方法(如Akaike信息准则(AIC))是不可能的。在两个数据集上演示了该方法。第一个是鞭尾蜥蜴数据集,之前已由其他研究模型选择方法的研究人员进行了分析。我们的结果证实了先前的分析,表明沙质土壤和蚂蚁的丰度与蜥蜴的丰度密切相关。第二组数据涉及与几种环境因素有关的耐污染鱼类的数量。结果表明,丰度与Strahler流序和栖息地质量指数成正相关。丰度与流域干扰百分率负相关。

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