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A Parsimonious Approach to Modeling Animal Movement Data

机译:一种简化的动物运动数据建模方法

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摘要

Animal tracking is a growing field in ecology and previous work has shown that simple speed filtering of tracking data is not sufficient and that improvement of tracking location estimates are possible. To date, this has required methods that are complicated and often time-consuming (state-space models), resulting in limited application of this technique and the potential for analysis errors due to poor understanding of the fundamental framework behind the approach. We describe and test an alternative and intuitive approach consisting of bootstrapping random walks biased by forward particles. The model uses recorded data accuracy estimates, and can assimilate other sources of data such as sea-surface temperature, bathymetry and/or physical boundaries. We tested our model using ARGOS and geolocation tracks of elephant seals that also carried GPS tags in addition to PTTs, enabling true validation. Among pinnipeds, elephant seals are extreme divers that spend little time at the surface, which considerably impact the quality of both ARGOS and light-based geolocation tracks. Despite such low overall quality tracks, our model provided location estimates within 4.0, 5.5 and 12.0 km of true location 50% of the time, and within 9, 10.5 and 20.0 km 90% of the time, for above, equal or below average elephant seal ARGOS track qualities, respectively. With geolocation data, 50% of errors were less than 104.8 km (<0.94°), and 90% were less than 199.8 km (<1.80°). Larger errors were due to lack of sea-surface temperature gradients. In addition we show that our model is flexible enough to solve the obstacle avoidance problem by assimilating high resolution coastline data. This reduced the number of invalid on-land location by almost an order of magnitude. The method is intuitive, flexible and efficient, promising extensive utilization in future research.
机译:动物跟踪是生态学中一个不断发展的领域,以前的工作表明,对跟踪数据进行简单的速度过滤是不够的,并且可能改进跟踪位置的估计值。迄今为止,这需要复杂且经常耗时的方法(状态空间模型),由于对该方法背后的基本框架了解不足,导致该技术的应用受到限制以及分析错误的可能性。我们描述并测试了另一种直观的方法,该方法包括引导被前向粒子偏置的随机游走。该模型使用记录的数据准确性估计值,并且可以吸收其他数据源,例如海面温度,测深法和/或物理边界。我们使用ARGOS和象海豹的地理定位轨迹测试了我们的模型,这些象海豹除了PTT之外还带有GPS标签,从而可以进行真正的验证。在针刺地区,象海豹是极度潜水的人,他们很少在地上花费时间,这极大地影响了ARGOS和基于光的地理位置轨道的质量。尽管总体质量轨迹很差,我们的模型还是提供了高于,等于或低于平均水平大象的位置估计值,该估计值在50%的时间内位于真实位置的4.0、5.5和12.0 km之内,在90%的时间内在9、10.5和20.0 km的真实位置内分别密封ARGOS赛道质量。使用地理位置数据,误差的50%小于104.8 km(<0.94°),而误差的90%小于199.8 km(<1.80°)。较大的误差归因于缺乏海表温度梯度。此外,我们证明了我们的模型具有足够的灵活性,可以通过吸收高分辨率海岸线数据来解决避障问题。这将无效的陆上位置的数量减少了近一个数量级。该方法直观,灵活,高效,有望在未来的研究中得到广泛的应用。

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