首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health >Farmer Health and Adaptive Capacity in the Face of Climate Change and Variability. Part 1: Health as a Contributor to Adaptive Capacity and as an Outcome from Pressures Coping with Climate Related Adversities
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Farmer Health and Adaptive Capacity in the Face of Climate Change and Variability. Part 1: Health as a Contributor to Adaptive Capacity and as an Outcome from Pressures Coping with Climate Related Adversities

机译:面对气候变化和变化的农民健康和适应能力。第1部分:健康是适应能力的贡献者也是应对气候变化的压力所带来的结果

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摘要

This paper examines the role farmers’ health plays as an element of adaptive capacity. The study examines which of twenty aspects of adaptation may be related to overall health outcomes, controlling for demographic and on-farm-factors in health problems. The analysis is based on 3,993 farmers’ responses to a national survey of climate risk and adaptation. Hierarchical linear regression modelling was used examine the extent to which, in a multivariate analysis, the use of adaptive practices was predictively associated with self-assessed health, taking into account the farmer’s rating of whether their health was a barrier to undertaking farm work. We present two models, one excluding pre-existing health (model 1) and one including pre-existing health (model 2). The first model accounted for 21% of the variance. In this model better health was most strongly predicted by an absence of on-farm risk, greater financial viability, greater debt pressures, younger age and a desire to continue farming. Social capital (trust and reciprocity) was moderately associated with health as was the intention to adopt more sustainable practices. The second model (including the farmers’ health as a barrier to undertaking farm work) accounted for 43% of the variance. Better health outcomes were most strongly explained, in order of magnitude, by the absence of pre-existing health problems, greater access to social support, greater financial viability, greater debt pressures, a desire to continue farming and the condition of on-farm resources. Model 2 was a more parsimonious model (only nine predictors, compared with 15 in model 1), and explained twice as much variance in health outcomes. These results suggest that (i) pre-existing health problems are a very important factor to consider when designing adaptation programs and policies and (ii) these problems may mediate or modify the relationship between adaptation and health.
机译:本文研究了农民健康在适应能力中的作用。这项研究检查了适应的二十个方面中的哪一个可能与总体健康状况有关,控制了健康问题中的人口因素和农场因素。该分析基于3,993名农民对全国气候风险和适应性调查的回应。在采用多变量分析方法的基础上,采用了分层线性回归模型,在考虑农民对他们的健康是否构成从事农业工作的障碍的等级之后,使用多变量分析预测了适应性措施的使用与自我评估的健康之间的关联性。我们提出了两种模型,一种不包括先前存在的健康(模型1),另一种包括既有健康(模型2)。第一个模型占方差的21%。在此模型中,最理想的健康预测是没有农场风险,没有更大的财务生存能力,更大的债务压力,年龄较小且希望继续耕种。社会资本(信任和互惠)与健康适度相关,采用更可持续的做法的意图也与健康相关。第二种模式(包括农民的健康成为从事农业工作的障碍)占差异的43%。更好地说明了健康状况的改善,从数量上来解释,因为没有先前存在的健康问题,获得社会支持的机会增加,财务上的生存能力增强,债务压力更大,继续耕作的愿望以及农场资源的状况。模型2是一种更为简约的模型(只有9个预测变量,而模型1中只有15个预测变量),并解释了健康结果差异的两倍。这些结果表明,(i)先前存在的健康问题是设计适应计划和政策时要考虑的非常重要的因素,并且(ii)这些问题可能会介导或改变适应与健康之间的关系。

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