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Predicting in-hospital mortality in Iranian patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

机译:预测伊朗自发性脑出血患者的院内死亡率

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摘要

>Background: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most fatal subtype of stroke. Despite limited effective therapy, there is no accepted clinical grading scale to predict in-hospital mortality, especially in developing nations. The purpose of this study was to assess the predictors of in-hospital mortality among a sample of Iranian patients with spontaneous ICH for use at the time of the first evaluation. >Methods: This prospective study was carried from January 2010 to the end of January 2011. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data of ICH patients were collected. Hematoma volume and perihematoma edema (PHE) were measured on brain computed tomography scan using ABC/2 formula. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine independent variables contributing to in-hospital mortality. >Results: Of a total 167 consecutive ICH patients, 98 patients met inclusion criteria. Mean ± standard deviation age of patients was 70.16 ± 12.52. After multivariate analysis, five variables remained as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality included: age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.03-1.23, P = 0.009], diabetes mellitus (OR = 10.86, 95% CI = 1.08-109.24, P = 0.009), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (OR = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.08-1.68, P ≤ 0.001), as well as volume of hematoma (OR = 1.1, 95% CI = 1.03-1.17, P = 0.003), and PHE (OR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.60-0.93, P = 0.010). >Conclusion: Our results indicate that older age, diabetes mellitus, higher NIHSS, as well as larger volume of hematoma, and smaller PHE on admission are important predictors of in-hospital mortality in our ICH patients.
机译:>背景:脑出血(ICH)是中风中最致命的亚型。尽管有效的治疗方法有限,但尚无公认的临床分级量表来预测院内死亡率,尤其是在发展中国家。这项研究的目的是评估首次评估时使用的伊朗自发性ICH患者样本中院内死亡率的预测因子。 >方法:该前瞻性研究于2010年1月至2011年1月结束。收集了ICH患者的人口统计学,临床和实验室数据。使用ABC / 2公式在脑电脑断层扫描中测量血肿体积和血肿周围水肿(PHE)。进行逻辑回归分析以确定影响医院死亡率的独立变量。 >结果:在总共167例ICH连续患者中,有98例符合纳入标准。患者的平均±标准差年龄为70.16±12.52。经过多变量分析后,仍存在五个变量作为院内死亡率的独立预测因子,包括:年龄[几率(OR)= 1.12,95%置信区间(CI)= 1.03-1.23,P = 0.009],糖尿病(OR = 10.86 ,95%CI = 1.08-109.24,P = 0.009),美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分(OR = 1.41,95%CI = 1.08-1.68,P≤0.001)以及血肿量(OR = 1.1,95%CI = 1.03-1.17,P = 0.003)和PHE(OR = 0.75,95%CI = 0.60-0.93,P = 0.010)。 >结论:我们的结果表明,老年,糖尿病,较高的NIHSS以及更大的血肿量和入院时的PHE是我们ICH患者住院死亡率的重要预测指标。

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