Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies

摘要

a Number of hospitalizations per 100,000 inhabitants per region in France as of April 2, 2020 [15]. b Number of ICU beds in Île-de-France and increase of capacity over time [16]. c Age profile in Île-de-France region corresponding to younger children, teenagers, adults, seniors (0, 11; 11, 19; 19, 65; and 65+ years old, respectively). d Contact matrices in the baseline scenario (no intervention) obtained from data [17] (left) and estimated for lockdown (right)