Real-Time Rainfall Estimation Using Microwave Links: A Case Study in East China during the Plum Rain Season in 2020

摘要

Accurate and real-time rainfall estimation is a pressing need for forecasting the flood disaster and reducing the loss. In this study, we exploit the potential of estimating the rainfall by microwave links in East China. Eight microwave links at 15 GHz and 23 GHz, operated by China Mobile, are used for estimating the rain rate in real-time in Jiangyin, China from June to July 2020. First, we analyze the correlation between the rain-induced attenuation of microwave links and the rain rate measured by rain gauges. The correlation coefficient values are higher than 0.77 with the highest one over 0.9, showing a strong positive correlation. The real-time results indicate that microwave links estimate the rainfall with a higher temporal resolution than the rain gauges. Meanwhile, the rain rate that was estimated by microwave links also correlates well with the actual rain rate, and most of the values of the mean absolute error are less than 1.50 mm/h. Besides, the total rainfall’s relative deviation values are less than 5% with the smallest one reaching 1%. The quantitative results also indicate that microwave links could lead to better forecasting of water levels and, hence, better warnings for flood disasters.