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Heat waves in the United States: definitions patterns and trends

机译:美国的热浪:定义模式和趋势

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摘要

High temperatures and heat waves are related but not synonymous concepts. Heat waves, generally understood to be acute periods of extreme warmth, are relevant to a wide range of stakeholders because of the impacts that these events have on human health and activities and on natural environments. Perhaps because of the diversity of communities engaged in heat wave monitoring and research, there is no single, standard definition of a heat wave. Experts differ in which threshold values (absolute versus relative), duration and ancillary variables to incorporate into heat wave definitions. While there is value in this diversity of perspectives, the lack of a unified index can cause confusion when discussing patterns, trends, and impacts. Here, we use data from the North American Land Data Assimilation System to examine patterns and trends in 15 previously published heat wave indices for the period 1979–2011 across the Continental United States. Over this period the Southeast region saw the highest number of heat wave days for the majority of indices considered. Positive trends (increases in number of heat wave days per year) were greatest in the Southeast and Great Plains regions, where more than 12 % of the land area experienced significant increases in the number of heat wave days per year for the majority of heat wave indices. Significant negative trends were relatively rare, but were found in portions of the Southwest, Northwest, and Great Plains.
机译:高温和热浪是相关的,但不是同义词。热浪通常被认为是极端温暖的急性期,与这些利益相关者息息相关,因为这些事件对人类健康,活动和自然环境都有影响。也许由于从事热浪监测和研究的社区的多样性,热浪没有统一的标准定义。专家在将阈值(绝对值与相对值),持续时间和辅助变量合并到热波定义中的方法有所不同。尽管这种观点的多样性是有价值的,但是在讨论模式,趋势和影响时,缺乏统一的索引会引起混乱。在这里,我们使用来自北美土地数据同化系统的数据来检查美国大陆1979年至2011年期间15种先前发布的热波指数的模式和趋势。在此期间,考虑到大多数指数,东南地区的热浪天数最多。积极趋势(每年热浪天数增加)在东南部和大平原地区最大,在这些地区,超过12%的土地面积经历了大部分热浪中每年热浪天数的显着增加索引。显着的负面趋势相对罕见,但在西南,西北和大平原的部分地区发现。

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