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Computing Critical Values of Exact Tests by Incorporating Monte Carlo Simulations Combined with Statistical Tables

机译:通过结合蒙特卡罗模拟和统计表来计算精确测试的临界值

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摘要

Various exact tests for statistical inference are available for powerful and accurate decision rules provided that corresponding critical values are tabulated or evaluated via Monte Carlo methods. This article introduces a novel hybrid method for computing p-values of exact tests by combining Monte Carlo simulations and statistical tables generated a priori. To use the data from Monte Carlo generations and tabulated critical values jointly, we employ kernel density estimation within Bayesian-type procedures. The p-values are linked to the posterior means of quantiles. In this framework, we present relevant information from the Monte Carlo experiments via likelihood-type functions, whereas tabulated critical values are used to reflect prior distributions. The local maximum likelihood technique is employed to compute functional forms of prior distributions from statistical tables. Empirical likelihood functions are proposed to replace parametric likelihood functions within the structure of the posterior mean calculations to provide a Bayesian-type procedure with a distribution-free set of assumptions. We derive the asymptotic properties of the proposed nonparametric posterior means of quantiles process. Using the theoretical propositions, we calculate the minimum number of needed Monte Carlo resamples for desired level of accuracy on the basis of distances between actual data characteristics (e.g. sample sizes) and characteristics of data used to present corresponding critical values in a table. The proposed approach makes practical applications of exact tests simple and rapid. Implementations of the proposed technique are easily carried out via the recently developed STATA and R statistical packages.
机译:如果通过蒙特卡洛方法将相应的临界值制成表格或进行评估,则可以使用各种精确的统计推断测试来获得强大而准确的决策规则。本文介绍了一种新颖的混合方法,通过结合蒙特卡洛模拟和先验生成的统计表来计算精确检验的p值。为了联合使用来自蒙特卡洛世代的数据和列表化的临界值,我们在贝叶斯型程序中采用了核密度估计。 p值链接到分位数的后验均值。在此框架中,我们通过似然类型函数提供了来自蒙特卡洛实验的相关信息,而列表式临界值用于反映先前的分布。采用局部最大似然技术从统计表计算先验分布的函数形式。提出了经验似然函数来代替后均值计算结构内的参数似然函数,以提供具有无分布假设集的贝叶斯型过程。我们导出了拟分位数过程的非参数后验均值的渐近性质。使用理论命题,我们根据实际数据特征(例如样本大小)与用于在表格中呈现相应临界值的数据特征之间的距离,计算出所需的精度水平所需的最小蒙特卡洛重采样数。所提出的方法使精确测试的实际应用变得简单而快速。通过最近开发的STATA和R统计软件包可以轻松地实现所提出技术的实现。

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