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Harnessing naturally occurring data to measure the response of spending to income

机译:利用自然发生的数据来衡量支出对收入的反应

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摘要

This paper presents a new data infrastructure for measuring economic activity. The infrastructure records transactions and account balances, yielding measurements with scope and accuracy that have little precedent in economics. The data are drawn from a diverse population that overrepresents males and younger adults but contains large numbers of underrepresented groups. The data infrastructure permits evaluation of a benchmark theory in economics that predicts that individuals should use a combination of cash management, saving, and borrowing to make the timing of income irrelevant for the timing of spending. As in previous studies and in contrast to the predictions of the theory, there is a response of spending to the arrival of anticipated income. The data also show, however, that this apparent excess sensitivity of spending results largely from the coincident timing of regular income and regular spending. The remaining excess sensitivity is concentrated among individuals with less liquidity.
机译:本文提出了一种用于衡量经济活动的新数据基础架构。基础设施记录交易和帐户余额,得出具有范围和准确性的度量,这在经济学中尚无先例。数据来自不同的人群,这些人群代表了男性和较年轻的成年人,但包含了大量代表性不足的人群。数据基础结构允许对经济学中的基准理论进行评估,该理论预测个人应结合使用现金管理,储蓄和借贷,以使收入时间与支出时间无关。与以前的研究一样,与该理论的预测相反,支出对预期收入的到来有反应。但是,数据还表明,这种明显的支出敏感性过高很大程度上是由于经常性收入和经常性支出同时出现的。剩余的过度敏感性集中在流动性较低的个人中。

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