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A Hybrid Wavelet Transform Based Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Approach

机译:基于混合小波变换的短期风速预测方法

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摘要

It is important to improve the accuracy of wind speed forecasting for wind parks management and wind power utilization. In this paper, a novel hybrid approach known as WTT-TNN is proposed for wind speed forecasting. In the first step of the approach, a wavelet transform technique (WTT) is used to decompose wind speed into an approximate scale and several detailed scales. In the second step, a two-hidden-layer neural network (TNN) is used to predict both approximated scale and detailed scales, respectively. In order to find the optimal network architecture, the partial autocorrelation function is adopted to determine the number of neurons in the input layer, and an experimental simulation is made to determine the number of neurons within each hidden layer in the modeling process of TNN. Afterwards, the final prediction value can be obtained by the sum of these prediction results. In this study, a WTT is employed to extract these different patterns of the wind speed and make it easier for forecasting. To evaluate the performance of the proposed approach, it is applied to forecast Hexi Corridor of China's wind speed. Simulation results in four different cases show that the proposed method increases wind speed forecasting accuracy.
机译:对于风电场管理和风能利用而言,提高风速预测的准确性非常重要。在本文中,提出了一种称为WTT-TNN的新型混合方法来进行风速预测。在该方法的第一步中,使用小波变换技术(WTT)将风速分解为一个近似比例和几个详细比例。在第二步中,使用两层神经网络(TNN)分别预测近似比例和详细比例。为了找到最佳的网络架构,采用局部自相关函数确定输入层中神经元的数量,并通过实验仿真来确定TNN建模过程中每个隐藏层中的神经元的数量。然后,可以通过这些预测结果的总和获得最终预测值。在这项研究中,采用了WTT来提取这些不同的风速模式,并使其更易于预测。为了评估该方法的性能,将其用于预测中国风速的河西走廊。在四种不同情况下的仿真结果表明,该方法提高了风速预报的准确性。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 other
  • 作者

    Jujie Wang;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 -1(2014),-1
  • 年度 -1
  • 页码 914127
  • 总页数 12
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-21 11:18:12

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