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Juxtaposition of System Dynamics and Agent-Based Simulation for a Case Study in Immunosenescence

机译:系统动力学的并置与基于Agent的仿真在免疫荧光中的案例研究

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摘要

Advances in healthcare and in the quality of life significantly increase human life expectancy. With the aging of populations, new un-faced challenges are brought to science. The human body is naturally selected to be well-functioning until the age of reproduction to keep the species alive. However, as the lifespan extends, unseen problems due to the body deterioration emerge. There are several age-related diseases with no appropriate treatment; therefore, the complex aging phenomena needs further understanding. It is known that immunosenescence is highly correlated to the negative effects of aging. In this work we advocate the use of simulation as a tool to assist the understanding of immune aging phenomena. In particular, we are comparing system dynamics modelling and simulation (SDMS) and agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS) for the case of age-related depletion of naive T cells in the organism. We address the following research questions: Which simulation approach is more suitable for this problem? Can these approaches be employed interchangeably? Is there any benefit of using one approach compared to the other? Results show that both simulation outcomes closely fit the observed data and existing mathematical model; and the likely contribution of each of the naive T cell repertoire maintenance method can therefore be estimated. The differences observed in the outcomes of both approaches are due to the probabilistic character of ABMS contrasted to SDMS. However, they do not interfere in the overall expected dynamics of the populations. In this case, therefore, they can be employed interchangeably, with SDMS being simpler to implement and taking less computational resources.
机译:医疗保健和生活质量的进步大大提高了人们的预期寿命。随着人口的老龄化,科学面临着新的挑战。自然地选择人体,使其在繁殖之前一直保持良好的功能,以保持该物种的生命。然而,随着寿命的延长,由于身体恶化而出现了看不见的问题。有几种与年龄有关的疾病,没有适当的治疗;因此,复杂的老化现象需要进一步了解。众所周知,免疫衰老与衰老的负面影响高度相关。在这项工作中,我们提倡使用模拟作为工具来帮助理解免疫衰老现象。特别是,我们正在比较系统动力学建模与仿真(SDMS)和基于代理的建模与仿真(ABMS),以解决生物中幼稚T细胞与年龄相关的消耗。我们解决以下研究问题:哪种仿真方法更适合该问题?这些方法可以互换使用吗?与另一种方法相比,使用一种方法有什么好处?结果表明,两种仿真结果都非常符合观察到的数据和现有的数学模型;因此,可以估算每种初始T细胞库维持方法的可能贡献。两种方法结果中观察到的差异是由于ABMS与SDMS相比具有概率特征。但是,它们不会干扰总体预期的人口动态。因此,在这种情况下,它们可以互换使用,而SDMS的实现更简单并且占用更少的计算资源。

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