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Guidance for the Model User on Representing Human Behavior in Egress Models

机译:模型用户在出口模型中代表人类行为的指南

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摘要

Structures are currently designed and constructed in accordance with prescriptive and performance-based (PBD) methodologies to ensure a certain level of occupant safety during fire emergencies. The performance-based approach requires the quantification of both ASET (Available Safe Egress Time) and RSET (Required Safe Egress Time) to determine the degree of safety provided. This article focuses on the RSET side of the equation, for which a fire protection or fire safety engineer would use some type of egress modelling approach to estimate evacuation performance. Often, simple engineering equations are applied to estimate the RSET value. Over time, more sophisticated computational tools have appeared–that go beyond basic flow calculations; e.g. simulating individual agent movement. Irrespective of the approach adopted, appropriate and accurate representation of human behavior in response to fire within these approaches is limited, mainly due to the lack of a comprehensive conceptual model of evacuee decision-making and behavior during fire emergencies. This article initially presents the set of behavioral statements, or mini-theories, currently available from various fire and disaster studies, organized using the overarching theory of decision-making and human behavior in disasters. Once presented, guidance is provided on how these behavioral statements might be incorporated into an evacuation model, in order to better represent human behavior in fire within the safety analysis being performed. The intent here is to improve the accuracy of the results produced by performance-based calculations and analyses.
机译:目前,结构是根据规定性的和基于性能的(PBD)方法进行设计和构造的,以确保在紧急情况下一定程度的人员安全。基于性能的方法要求量化ASET(可用安全出口时间)和RSET(必需安全出口时间),以确定所提供的安全程度。本文重点关注方程的RSET端,为此,消防或消防安全工程师将使用某种类型的出口建模方法来估算疏散性能。通常,使用简单的工程方程式估算RSET值。随着时间的流逝,出现了更复杂的计算工具–超出了基本流量计算的范围;例如模拟个体特工的移动。不管采用哪种方法,在这些方法中对火灾响应的人类行为的正确且准确的表示都受到限制,这主要是由于缺乏在火灾紧急情况下撤离人员的决策和行为的综合概念模型。本文首先介绍了行为声明或微型理论集,目前可以从各种火灾和灾难研究中获得这些信息,这些理论是使用灾害中的决策和人类行为的总体理论进行组织的。一旦呈现,将提供有关如何将这些行为陈述纳入疏散模型的指南,以便在执行的安全分析中更好地表示火灾中的人类行为。这里的目的是提高基于性能的计算和分析所产生的结果的准确性。

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