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Quantifying Functionals of Age Distributions in the Wild by Solving an Operator Equation

机译:通过求解算子方程来量化野外年龄分布的函数

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摘要

Residual demography is a recent concept that has proved to be a useful tool to gain insights about the age distributions of wild populations, especially insects. We develop an operator equation that permits the derivation of functionals of the age distribution in wild populations, such as mean age, within the framework of residual demography. Our method combines information from an observed captive cohort, which consists of subjects that are sampled from the wild with unknown ages and then raised in the laboratory until death, and from a reference cohort that consists of subjects raised in the laboratory since birth of the same population. Targeting functionals such as the mean of the wild age distribution has the advantage of avoiding strong assumptions such as stationarity and stability of the population that one would need when targeting the entire survival distribution in the wild. Our main result characterizes the existence of a solution of the operator equation that yields the functional of interest. The proposed method also enjoys straightforward and easy implementation. A data example is included illustrating an application, where one aims to attain the mean age of mosquitoes in the wild, based on seasonal captive cohorts from Greece and a simulated reference cohort, separately for various summer and fall months.
机译:残留人口统计学是一个新近的概念,事实证明它是获取有关野生种群(尤其是昆虫)年龄分布的见解的有用工具。我们开发了一个算子方程,该方程可在残余人口统计数据的框架内推导野生种群中年龄分布的函数,例如平均年龄。我们的方法结合了来自观察到的圈养群体的信息,该群体包括从未知年龄的野外采样然后在实验室中饲养直至死亡的受试者,以及从参考队列中获得的信息,该参考人群包括自同一人出生以来在实验室饲养的受试者人口。定位功能(例如野生年龄分布的平均值)的优势在于可以避免针对野生环境中整个生存分布的强大假设,例如平稳性和人口稳定性。我们的主要结果表征了运算符方程的解的存在,该解产生了所关注的函数。所提出的方法还具有直接且容易实现的优点。包括一个数据示例,该示例说明了一种应用,其中一个目标是分别根据夏季和秋季的不同季节分别来自希腊的季节性捕获队列和模拟参考队列,以达到野外蚊子的平均年龄。

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