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Quantifying the effects of climate and anthropogenic change on regional species loss in China

机译:量化气候和人为变化对中国区域物种丧失的影响

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摘要

Human-induced environmental and climate change are widely blamed for causing rapid global biodiversity loss, but direct estimation of the proportion of biodiversity lost at local or regional scales are still infrequent. This prevents us from quantifying the main and interactive effects of anthropogenic environmental and climate change on species loss. Here, we demonstrate that the estimated proportion of species loss of 252 key protected vertebrate species at a county level of China during the past half century was 27.2% for all taxa, 47.7% for mammals, 28.8% for amphibians and reptiles and 19.8% for birds. Both human population increase and species richness showed significant positive correlations with species loss of all taxa combined, mammals, birds, and amphibians and reptiles. Temperature increase was positively correlated with all-taxa and bird species loss. Precipitation increase was negatively correlated with species loss of birds. Human population change and species richness showed more significant interactions with the other correlates of species loss. High species richness regions had higher species loss under the drivers of human environmental and climate change than low-richness regions. Consequently, ongoing human environmental and climate changes are expected to perpetuate more negative effects on the survival of key vertebrate species, particularly in high-biodiversity regions.
机译:人为引起的环境和气候变化是造成全球生物多样性迅速丧失的罪魁祸首,但在地方或区域范围内直接估算生物多样性丧失比例的情况仍然很少。这使我们无法量化人为环境和气候变化对物种丧失的主要和互动影响。在这里,我们证明了在过去的半个世纪中,中国一个县级的252种主要受保护脊椎动物物种的物种损失比例分别为:所有分类单元27.2%,哺乳动物47.7%,两栖动物和爬行动物28.8%以及19.8%。鸟类。人口增加和物种丰富度均与所有分类单元,哺乳动物,鸟类,两栖动物和爬行动物的物种丧失显着正相关。温度升高与全分类单元和鸟类物种丧失呈正相关。降水增加与鸟类物种丧失呈负相关。人口变化和物种丰富度显示出与物种丧失的其他相关性更显着的相互作用。在人类环境和气候变化的驱动下,高物种丰富度地区比低物种丰富度地区具有更高的物种丧失。因此,预计人类环境和气候变化将对关键脊椎动物物种的生存,尤其是在高生物多样性地区的生存,产生更大的负面影响。

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