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Development impacts of migration and remittances on migrant-sending communities: Evidence from Ethiopia

机译:移民和汇款对移民发送社区的发展影响:来自埃塞俄比亚的证据

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摘要

This paper evaluates the development impacts of migration and remittances in migrant source communities by applying insights from the New Economics of Labor Migration (NELM) theory to Ethiopia’s migration. Using household survey data, we empirically evaluate how household participation in migration arises and so that the subsequent labor losses and the influx of remittances affect income sources and asset accumulation of smallholder farm households. To account several econometric issues and consistently estimate the impacts of migration and remittances, we adopted three-stage least-squares method complemented with endogeneity and multicollinearity test. Besides, using logistic and multinomial logistic regressions respectively, we estimate the determinants of the household migration decision to have migrants, as well as the probability of the household to send out temporary or permanent migrants. Findings suggest that larger and wealthier households are less likely to have migrant family members, while households living below the poverty line, as well as villages with the highest unemployment rate, are the most likely to have both temporary and permanent migrants. However, a rise in months spent out of agriculture has a significant negative effect on crop income and asset accumulation, but only for permanent migration. By contrast, the influx of remitted income from migrants has led to increased crop income and asset values in the form of land and livestock holdings. Finally, this manuscript provides more comprehensive evidence by showing the net-returns of migration in terms of initial lost-labor effects and the positive developmental impacts that it produces varied for households with different types of migration and production conditions.
机译:本文通过将新劳工迁移经济学(NELM)理论的见解应用于埃塞俄比亚的移民,来评估移民和汇款对移民来源社区的发展影响。利用住户调查数据,我们凭经验评估了家庭如何参与移民活动,从而使随后的劳动力损失和汇款流入影响了小农户的收入来源和资产积累。为了解决几个计量经济学问题并一致地估计移民和汇款的影响,我们采用了三阶段最小二乘法,并辅以内生性和多重共线性检验。此外,分别使用逻辑回归和多项式逻辑回归,我们估计有移民的家庭迁移决定的决定因素,以及家庭发出临时或永久移民的概率。研究结果表明,较大和较富裕的家庭不太可能拥有移民家庭成员,而生活在贫困线以下的家庭以及失业率最高的村庄则最有可能拥有临时和永久移民。但是,从农业中度过的几个月时间的增加对作物的收入和资产积累产生了重大的负面影响,但仅对永久移民而言。相比之下,移民汇出的收入大量涌入,导致以土地和牲畜所有权的形式增加了作物收入和资产价值。最后,该手稿通过显示最初的劳动力丧失效应及其对不同类型的移民和生产条件的家庭产生的积极的发展影响,显示了移民的净回报,从而提供了更全面的证据。

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