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Climatic patterns in the establishment of wintering areas by North American migratory birds

机译:北美候鸟建立越冬区的气候模式

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摘要

Long‐distance migration in birds is relatively well studied in nature; however, one aspect of this phenomenon that remains poorly understood is the pattern of distribution presented by species during arrival to and establishment of wintering areas. Some studies suggest that the selection of areas in winter is somehow determined by climate, given its influence on both the distribution of bird species and their resources. We analyzed whether different migrant passerine species of North America present climatic preferences during arrival to and departure from their wintering areas. We used ecological niche modeling to generate monthly potential climatic distributions for 13 migratory bird species during the winter season by combining the locations recorded per month with four environmental layers. We calculated monthly coefficients of climate variation and then compared two GLM (generalized linear models), evaluated with the AIC (Akaike information criterion), to describe how these coefficients varied over the course of the season, as a measure of the patterns of establishment in the wintering areas. For 11 species, the sites show nonlinear patterns of variation in climatic preferences, with low coefficients of variation at the beginning and end of the season and higher values found in the intermediate months. The remaining two species analyzed showed a different climatic pattern of selective establishment of wintering areas, probably due to taxonomic discrepancy, which would affect their modeled winter distribution. Patterns of establishment of wintering areas in the species showed a climatic preference at the macroscale, suggesting that individuals of several species actively select wintering areas that meet specific climatic conditions. This probably gives them an advantage over the winter and during the return to breeding areas. As these areas become full of migrants, alternative suboptimal sites are occupied. Nonrandom winter area selection may also have consequences for the conservation of migratory bird species, particularly under a scenario of climate change.
机译:鸟类的远距离迁徙在自然界中研究得比较充分。但是,这种现象的一个方面仍然知之甚少,即物种到达和建立越冬区时物种分布的格局。一些研究表明,冬季地区的选择在某种程度上取决于气候,因为它对鸟类物种分布及其资源都有影响。我们分析了北美不同迁徙的雀形目物种在到达和离开其越冬区域时是否表现出气候偏好。我们使用生态位模型,通过将每月记录的位置与四个环境层相结合,在冬季产生了13种候鸟的每月潜在气候分布。我们计算了每月的气候变化系数,然后比较了两个用AIC(赤池信息标准)评估的GLM(广义线性模型),以描述这些系数在整个季节中的变化情况,以此来衡量气候变化的模式。越冬区。对于11个物种,这些位点显示出气候偏好变化的非线性模式,在季节的开始和结束时变异系数较低,而在中间月份则较高。分析的其余两个物种显示出选择性建立越冬区域的不同气候模式,这可能是由于分类学差异所致,这将影响其模拟的越冬分布。该物种越冬区域的建立模式在宏观上显示出气候偏好,表明几种物种的个体积极选择满足特定气候条件的越冬区域。这可能使它们在冬季以及返回繁殖区时具有优势。随着这些地区到处都是移民,替代性的次优地点被占领了。非随机冬季地区的选择也可能对候鸟物种的保护产生影响,特别是在气候变化的情况下。

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