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How congestion shapes cities: from mobility patterns to scaling

机译:拥堵如何塑造城市:从出行方式到规模扩展

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摘要

The recent availability of data for cities has allowed scientists to exhibit scalings which present themselves in the form of a power-law dependence on population of various socio-economical and structural indicators. We propose here a stochastic theory of urban growth which accounts for some of the observed scalings and we confirm these predictions on US and OECD empirical data. In particular, we show that the dependence on population size of the total number of miles driven daily, the total length of the road network, the total traffic delay, the total consumption of gasoline, the quantity of CO2 emitted and the relation between area and population of cities, are all governed by a single parameter which characterizes the sensitivity to congestion. Our results suggest that diseconomies associated with congestion scale superlinearly with population size, implying that –despite polycentrism– cities whose transportation infrastructure rely heavily on traffic sensitive modes are unsustainable.
机译:最近城市数据的可用性使科学家能够展示出尺度,这种尺度以幂律依赖各种社会经济和结构指标的人口的形式呈现。我们在这里提出了一种城市增长的随机理论,该理论解释了一些观察到的规模变化,并且我们根据美国和OECD的经验数据证实了这些预测。尤其是,我们表明,人口密度取决于每天行驶的总里程数,路网的总长度,总的交通延误,总的汽油消耗,二氧化碳排放量以及面积与面积之间的关系。城市人口都由一个单一参数控制,该参数表征了对拥堵的敏感性。我们的研究结果表明,与拥挤有关的不经济性与人口规模呈超线性关系,这意味着尽管存在多中心主义,但其交通基础设施严重依赖于交通敏感模式的城市是不可持续的。

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