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Three millennia of heavy rainfalls in Western Mediterranean: frequency seasonality and atmospheric drivers

机译:地中海西部三千年的暴雨:频率季节和大气驱动因素

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摘要

Documenting subdecadal-scale heavy rainfall (HR) variability over several millennia can rarely be accomplished due to the paucity of high resolution, homogeneous and continuous proxy records. Here, using a unique, seasonally resolved lake record from southern Europe, we quantify temporal changes in extreme HR events for the last 2,800 years in this region and their correlation with negative phases of the Mediterranean Oscillation (MO). Notably, scarce HR dominated by a persistent positive MO mode characterizes the so-called Migration period (CE 370–670). Large hydroclimatic variability, particularly between CE 1012 and 1164, singles out the Medieval Climatic Anomaly, whereas more stationary HR conditions occurred between CE 1537 and 1805 coinciding with the Little Ice Age. This exceptional paleohydrological record highlights that the present-day trend towards strengthened hydrological deficit and less HR in the western Mediterranean is neither acute nor unusual in the context of Late Holocene hydrometeorological variability at centennial to decadal time scales.
机译:由于缺乏高分辨率,均一和连续的代用记录,很少能记录下几千年来年代际规模的强降雨(HR)的变化。在这里,使用来自欧洲南部的独特的季节性湖记录,我们量化了该地区过去2800年中极端HR事件的时间变化及其与地中海涛动(MO)负相位的相关性。值得注意的是,由持续的积极MO模式主导的稀缺HR表征了所谓的迁移期(CE 370-670)。较大的水文气候变化,特别是在CE 1012和1164之间,表明了中世纪的气候异常,而更稳定的HR条件发生在CE 1537和1805之间,与小冰期相吻合。这一出色的古水文学记录突显了,在晚全新世水文气象在百年到十年年代尺度上变化的背景下,当今地中海西部水文赤字增加和HR降低的趋势既不是急性的也不是不寻常的。

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