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Global Warming Attenuates the Tropical Atlantic-Pacific Teleconnection

机译:全球变暖减弱了热带大西洋与太平洋的遥距联系

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摘要

Changes in global sea surface temperature (SST) since the end of last century display a pattern of widespread warming intercepted by cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific and western coasts of the American continent. Studies have suggested that the cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific may be partly induced by warming in the North Atlantic. However, it remains unknown how stable this inter-tropical teleconnection will be under global warming. Here we show that the inter-tropical teleconnection from the tropical Atlantic to Pacific weakens substantially as the CO2 concentration increases. This reduced impact is related to the El Niño-like warming of the tropical Pacific mean state, which leads to limited seasonal migration of the Pacific inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and weakened ocean heat transport. A fast decay of the tropical Atlantic SST anomalies in a warmer climate also contributes to the weakened teleconnection. Our study suggests that as greenhouse warming continues, the trend in the tropical Pacific as well as the development of ENSO will be less frequently interrupted by the Atlantic because of this attenuation. The weakened teleconnection is also supported by CMIP5 models, although only a few of these models can capture this inter-tropical teleconnection.
机译:自上世纪末以来,全球海表温度(SST)的变化显示出一种普遍的变暖模式,在赤道东太平洋和美洲大陆的西海岸被降温所拦截。研究表明,赤道东太平洋的降温可能部分是由于北大西洋的变暖引起的。但是,尚不清楚在全球变暖的情况下,这种热带远程连接的稳定性如何。在这里,我们表明,随着CO2浓度的增加,从热带大西洋到太平洋的热带遥相关大大减弱。这种减少的影响与热带太平洋平均状态类似厄尔尼诺现象的变暖有关,这导致太平洋热带辐合带(ITCZ)的季节性迁移有限,海洋热传输减弱。热带大西洋SST异常在气候变暖的情况下快速衰减,也导致遥相关性减弱。我们的研究表明,随着温室气体持续升温,热带太平洋的趋势以及ENSO的发展将由于这种衰减而被大西洋中断的频率降低。 CMIP5模型也支持减弱的远程连接,尽管这些模型中只有少数可以捕获这种热带远程连接。

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