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Consecutive record-breaking high temperatures marked the handover from hiatus to accelerated warming

机译:连续创纪录的高温标志着从中断到加速变暖的转变

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摘要

Closely following the hiatus warming period, two astonishing high temperature records reached in 2014 and 2015 consecutively. To investigate the occurrence features of record-breaking high temperatures in recent years, a new index focusing the frequency of the top 10 high annual mean temperatures was defined in this study. Analyses based on this index shown that record-breaking high temperatures occurred over most regions of the globe with a salient increasing trend after 1960 s, even during the so-called hiatus period. Overlapped on the ongoing background warming trend and the interdecadal climate variabilities, the El Niño events, particularly the strong ones, can make a significant contribution to the occurrence of high temperatures on interannual timescale. High temperatures associated with El Niño events mainly occurred during the winter annual period. As the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) struggled back to its positive phase since 2014, the global warming returned back to a new accelerated warming period, marked by the record-breaking high temperatures in 2014. Intensified by the super strong El Niño, successive high records occurred in 2015 and 2016. Higher frequencies of record high temperatures would occur in the near future because the PDO tends to maintain a continuously positive phase.
机译:在裂口变暖之后不久,2014年和2015年连续两次达到了惊人的高温记录。为了调查近年来破纪录的高温的发生特征,在这项研究中定义了一个新的指数,该指数着重于前十个最高年平均温度的频率。根据该指数进行的分析表明,全球大部分地区都出现了创纪录的高温,甚至在所谓的休止期之后,在1960年代后仍显着增加。由于持续的背景变暖趋势和年代际气候变化的叠加,厄尔尼诺事件(尤其是强事件)可以在年际时间尺度上对高温的发生做出重大贡献。与厄尔尼诺事件有关的高温主要发生在冬季的一年中。随着2014年以来的太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)陷入积极阶段,全球变暖又回到了一个新的加速变暖时期,其特征是2014年创纪录的高温。超强厄尔尼诺现象加剧,连续高记录发生在2015年和2016年。在不久的将来,记录温度升高的频率更高,因为PDO倾向于保持连续的积极阶段。

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