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Deciphering Dynamical Nonlinearities in Short Time Series Using Recurrent Neural Networks

机译:使用递归神经网络破译短时间序列中的动力学非线性

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摘要

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis testing and investigates potential differences in discriminant statistics between the given empirical sample and its surrogate counterparts. The choice and estimation of the discriminant statistics can be challenging across short time series. Also, conclusion based on a single empirical sample is an inherent limitation. The present study proposes a recurrent neural network classification framework that uses the raw time series obviating the need for discriminant statistic while accommodating multiple time series realizations for enhanced generalizability of the findings. The results are demonstrated on short time series with lengths (L = 32, 64, 128) from continuous and discrete dynamical systems in chaotic regimes, nonlinear transform of linearly correlated noise and experimental data. Accuracy of the classifier is shown to be markedly higher than ≫50% for the processes in chaotic regimes whereas those of nonlinearly correlated noise were around ~50% similar to that of random guess from a one-sample binomial test. These results are promising and elucidate the usefulness of the proposed framework in identifying potential dynamical nonlinearities from short experimental time series.
机译:替代测试技术已广泛用于研究动态非线性的存在,动态非线性是确定性混沌过程的基本组成部分。传统的替代检验支持统计假设检验,并调查给定的经验样本与其替代对应样本之间判别统计的潜在差异。在短时间序列中,判别统计量的选择和估计可能具有挑战性。同样,基于单个经验样本的结论是一个固有的局限性。本研究提出了一种递归神经网络分类框架,该框架使用原始时间序列,消除了对判别统计量的需要,同时适应了多个时间序列实现,以增强发现的通用性。在短时间序列上证明了结果,该时间序列来自混沌状态下连续和离散动力系统的长度(L = 32、64、128),线性相关噪声的非线性变换和实验数据。对于混沌状态下的过程,分类器的准确性显着高于≫50%,而与非线性相关噪声的分类器的准确性与单样本二项式检验的随机猜测的准确性相差约50%。这些结果是有希望的,并阐明了所提出的框架在从较短的实验时间序列中识别潜在的动力学非线性方面的有用性。

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