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Bayesian inference for generalized linear mixed models

机译:广义线性混合模型的贝叶斯推断

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摘要

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) continue to grow in popularity due to their ability to directly acknowledge multiple levels of dependency and model different data types. For small sample sizes especially, likelihood-based inference can be unreliable with variance components being particularly difficult to estimate. A Bayesian approach is appealing but has been hampered by the lack of a fast implementation, and the difficulty in specifying prior distributions with variance components again being particularly problematic. Here, we briefly review previous approaches to computation in Bayesian implementations of GLMMs and illustrate in detail, the use of integrated nested Laplace approximations in this context. We consider a number of examples, carefully specifying prior distributions on meaningful quantities in each case. The examples cover a wide range of data types including those requiring smoothing over time and a relatively complicated spline model for which we examine our prior specification in terms of the implied degrees of freedom. We conclude that Bayesian inference is now practically feasible for GLMMs and provides an attractive alternative to likelihood-based approaches such as penalized quasi-likelihood. As with likelihood-based approaches, great care is required in the analysis of clustered binary data since approximation strategies may be less accurate for such data.
机译:通用线性混合模型(GLMM)由于能够直接确认多个级别的依存关系并为不同的数据类型建模而不断流行。特别是对于小样本量,基于似然的推断可能不可靠,并且方差分量特别难以估计。贝叶斯方法吸引人,但是由于缺乏快速实施而受到阻碍,并且再次难以确定具有方差分量的先验分布。在这里,我们简要回顾了GLMM的贝叶斯实现中的先前计算方法,并详细说明了在这种情况下集成嵌套式Laplace逼近的使用。我们考虑许多示例,在每种情况下仔细指定有意义数量的先前分布。这些示例涵盖了广泛的数据类型,包括那些需要随时间进行平滑处理的数据类型以及相对复杂的样条模型,我们针对这些数据模型根据隐含的自由度来检查我们的现有规范。我们得出的结论是,贝叶斯推理现在对于GLMM来说实际上是可行的,并且为基于似然的方法(如惩罚拟似然)提供了有吸引力的替代方法。与基于似然的方法一样,在分析聚类二进制数据时需要格外小心,因为近似策略对此类数据的准确性可能较低。

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