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Periodic variability in cetacean strandings: links to large-scale climate events

机译:鲸类动物搁浅的周期性变化:与大规模气候事件的联系

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摘要

Cetacean strandings elicit much community and scientific interest, but few quantitative analyses have successfully identified environmental correlates to these phenomena. Data spanning 1920–2002, involving a total of 639 stranding events and 39 taxa groups from southeast Australia, were found to demonstrate a clear 11–13- year periodicity in the number of events through time. These data positively correlated with the regional persistence of both zonal (westerly) and meridional (southerly) winds, reflecting general long-term and large-scale shifts in sea-level pressure gradients. Periods of persistent zonal and meridional winds result in colder and presumably nutrient-rich waters being driven closer to southern Australia, resulting in increased biological activity in the water column during the spring months. These observations suggest that large-scale climatic events provide a powerful distal influence on the propensity for whales to strand in this region. These patterns provide a powerful quantitative framework for testing hypotheses regarding environmental links to strandings and provide managers with a potential predictive tool to prepare for years of peak stranding activity.
机译:鲸类搁浅引起了许多社会和科学兴趣,但是很少有定量分析成功地确定与这些现象相关的环境。发现1920年至2002年的数据总共涉及639例搁浅事件和来自澳大利亚东南部的39个分类群,证明整个事件的数量具有清晰的11-13年周期性。这些数据与纬向风(西风)和子午线(南风)的区域持久性正相关,反映了海平面压力梯度的一般长期和大规模变化。持续的纬向和经向风会导致更冷的营养丰富的水被驱赶到澳大利亚南部,导致春季水柱中生物活动的增加。这些观察结果表明,大规模的气候事件对鲸鱼在该区域搁浅的倾向提供了强大的远侧影响。这些模式为测试有关搁浅的环境联系的假设提供了强大的定量框架,并为管理人员提供了潜在的预测工具,以为多年搁浅的峰值活动做准备。

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