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How to lift a model for individual behaviour to the population level?

机译:如何将个人行为模型提升到人口水平?

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摘要

The quick answer to the title question is: by bookkeeping; introduce as p(opulation)-state a measure telling how the individuals are distributed over their common i(ndividual)-state space, and track how the various i-processes change this measure. Unfortunately, this answer leads to a mathematical theory that is technically complicated as well as immature. Alternatively, one may describe a population in terms of the history of the population birth rate together with the history of any environmental variables affecting i-state changes, reproduction and survival. Thus, a population model leads to delay equations. This delay formulation corresponds to a restriction of the p-dynamics to a forward invariant attracting set, so that no information is lost that is relevant for long-term dynamics. For such equations there exists a well-developed theory. In particular, numerical bifurcation tools work essentially the same as for ordinary differential equations. However, the available tools still need considerable adaptation before they can be practically applied to the dynamic energy budget (DEB) model. For the time being we recommend simplifying the i-dynamics before embarking on a systematic mathematical exploration of the associated p-behaviour. The long-term aim is to extend the tools, with the DEB model as a relevant goal post.
机译:标题问题的快速答案是:通过簿记;引入一种度量(作为p(操作)状态),该度量告诉个体如何在其共同的i(个体)状态空间上分布,并跟踪各种i进程如何更改此度量。不幸的是,这个答案导致了数学理论在技术上既复杂又不成熟。或者,可以根据人口出生率的历史以及影响i态变化,繁殖和生存的任何环境变量的历史来描述人口。因此,总体模型导致了延迟方程。该延迟公式对应于p动力学对前向不变吸引集的限制,因此不会丢失与长期动力学相关的信息。对于此类方程式,存在完善的理论。特别是,数值分叉工具的工作原理与常微分方程相同。但是,可用工具仍然需要进行大量调整,然后才能将其实际应用于动态能源预算(DEB)模型。目前,我们建议在着手对相关的p行为进行系统的数学探索之前简化i动力学。长期目标是扩展工具,并将DEB模型作为相关目标。

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