Effectiveness assessment of countermeasures against bioterrorist smallpox attacks in Japan using an individual-based model

摘要

ObjectivesThis study is aimed at the evaluation of countermeasures in terms of the total number of patients and deaths, the number of vaccine doses used, and the time for eradication as examined through simulations of the outbreak of smallpox following a bioterrorist attack in the center of Okayama City. Three countermeasures were considered: traced vaccination (TV), mass vaccination (MV), and school closure.