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Cardiovascular research: data dispersion issues

机译:心血管研究:数据分散问题

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摘要

Biological processes are full of variations and so are responses to therapy as measured in clinical research. Estimators of clinical efficacy are, therefore, usually reported with a measure of uncertainty, otherwise called dispersion. This study aimed to review both the flaws of data reports without measure of dispersion and those with over-dispersion.Examples of estimators commonly reported without a measure of dispersion include: class="enumerated" style="list-style-type:decimal">number needed to treat;reproducibility of quantitative diagnostic tests;sensitivity/specificity;Markov predictors;risk profiles predicted from multiple logistic models.Data with large differences between response magnitudes can be assessed for over-dispersion by goodness of fit tests. The χ2 goodness of fit test allows adjustment for over-dispersion.For most clinical estimators, the calculation of standard errors or confidence intervals is possible. Sometimes, the choice is deliberately made not to use the data fully, but to skip the standard errors and to use the summary measures only. The problem with this approach is that it may suggest inflated results. We recommend that analytical methods in clinical research should always attempt to include a measure of dispersion in the data. When large differences exist in the data, the presence of over-dispersion should be assessed and appropriate adjustments made.
机译:生物过程充满变化,临床研究中对治疗的反应也是如此。因此,通常以不确定性的量度来报告临床疗效的估计值,否则称为离散度。这项研究的目的是回顾没有离散程度测量的数据报告的缺陷和过度离散程度的数据报告的缺陷。通常报告的没有离散程度测量的估计器示例包括: class =“ enumerated” style =“ list-style-type:十进制“> <!-list-behavior =枚举前缀-word = mark-type =十进制max-label-size = 0-> 需要处理的数量; 定量诊断的可重复性测试; 敏感性/特异性; Markov预测因子; 从多个逻辑模型预测的风险概况。 差异较大的数据可以通过拟合优度来评估响应幅度之间的过度分散。拟合度的χ 2 允许对过度分散进行调整。对于大多数临床估计者,可以计算标准误或置信区间。有时,故意选择不完全使用数据,而是跳过标准错误并仅使用汇总度量。这种方法的问题在于,它可能暗示结果偏高。我们建议临床研究中的分析方法应始终尝试在数据中包括分散性的度量。如果数据存在较大差异,则应评估过度分散的存在并进行适当的调整。

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