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Joint prediction of multiple quantitative traits using a Bayesian multivariate antedependence model

机译:使用贝叶斯多元正相关模型联合预测多个数量性状

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摘要

Predicting organismal phenotypes from genotype data is important for preventive and personalized medicine as well as plant and animal breeding. Although genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for complex traits have discovered a large number of trait- and disease-associated variants, phenotype prediction based on associated variants is usually in low accuracy even for a high-heritability trait because these variants can typically account for a limited fraction of total genetic variance. In comparison with GWAS, the whole-genome prediction (WGP) methods can increase prediction accuracy by making use of a huge number of variants simultaneously. Among various statistical methods for WGP, multiple-trait model and antedependence model show their respective advantages. To take advantage of both strategies within a unified framework, we proposed a novel multivariate antedependence-based method for joint prediction of multiple quantitative traits using a Bayesian algorithm via modeling a linear relationship of effect vector between each pair of adjacent markers. Through both simulation and real-data analyses, our studies demonstrated that the proposed antedependence-based multiple-trait WGP method is more accurate and robust than corresponding traditional counterparts (Bayes A and multi-trait Bayes A) under various scenarios. Our method can be readily extended to deal with missing phenotypes and resequence data with rare variants, offering a feasible way to jointly predict phenotypes for multiple complex traits in human genetic epidemiology as well as plant and livestock breeding.
机译:从基因型数据预测生物表型对于预防和个性化医学以及动植物育种很重要。尽管针对复杂性状的全基因组关联研究(GWAS)已发现大量与性状和疾病相关的变异,但即使对于高遗传性状,基于关联变异的表型预测通常也具有较低的准确性,因为这些变异通常可以解释总遗传变异的有限部分。与GWAS相比,全基因组预测(WGP)方法可以通过同时使用大量变体来提高预测准确性。在WGP的各种统计方法中,多特征模型和独立模型都显示出各自的优势。为了在统一框架中利用这两种策略,我们提出了一种基于贝叶斯算法的多变量基于独立性的新方法,用于联合预测多个定量性状,方法是对每对相邻标记之间的效果向量进行线性关系建模。通过仿真和真实数据分析,我们的研究表明,在各种情况下,所提出的基于独立性的多特征WGP方法比相应的传统对应方法(贝叶斯A和多特征贝叶斯A)更准确,更可靠。我们的方法可以很容易地扩展到处理缺失的表型和罕见变异的重排数据,为联合预测人类遗传流行病学以及动植物育种中多个复杂性状的表型提供了可行的方法。

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