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On Consistency Test Method of Expert Opinion in Ecological Security Assessment

机译:生态安全评价中专家意见的一致性检验方法

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摘要

To reflect the initiative design and initiative of human security management and safety warning, ecological safety assessment is of great value. In the comprehensive evaluation of regional ecological security with the participation of experts, the expert’s individual judgment level, ability and the consistency of the expert’s overall opinion will have a very important influence on the evaluation result. This paper studies the consistency measure and consensus measure based on the multiplicative and additive consistency property of fuzzy preference relation (FPR). We firstly propose the optimization methods to obtain the optimal multiplicative consistent and additively consistent FPRs of individual and group judgments, respectively. Then, we put forward a consistency measure by computing the distance between the original individual judgment and the optimal individual estimation, along with a consensus measure by computing the distance between the original collective judgment and the optimal collective estimation. In the end, we make a case study on ecological security for five cities. Result shows that the optimal FPRs are helpful in measuring the consistency degree of individual judgment and the consensus degree of collective judgment.
机译:为了反映人类安全管理和安全预警的主动设计和主动性,生态安全评估具有重要的价值。在专家参与下的区域生态安全综合评价中,专家的个人判断水平,能力和专家总体意见的一致性将对评价结果产生非常重要的影响。本文基于模糊偏好关系(FPR)的乘性和加性一致性性质,研究一致性度量和一致性度量。首先,我们提出了优化方法,分别获得了个体和群体判断的最佳乘性一致和加性一致的FPR。然后,通过计算原始个体判断与最优个体估计之间的距离,提出了一种一致性测度,以及通过计算原始集体判断与最优集体估计之间的距离的一致性测度。最后,我们对五个城市的生态安全进行了案例研究。结果表明,最优FPRs有助于衡量个人判断的一致性程度和集体判断的共识程度。

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