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Mortality among a cohort of United Kingdom steel foundry workers with special reference to cancers of the stomach and lung 1946-90.

机译:1946-90年一组英国钢铁铸造厂工人的死亡率特别涉及胃癌和肺癌。

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摘要

OBJECTIVE--The aim was to describe cause specific mortality among steel foundry workers and to determine if any part of the experience may be due to occupation. DESIGN--Historical prospective cohort study. SETTING--Nine steel foundries in England and one in Scotland. SUBJECTS--10,438 male production employees first employed in the period 1946-65 and with a minimum period of employment of one year. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Observed and expected numbers of deaths for the period 1946-90. RESULTS--Compared with the general population of England and Wales, standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) for all causes and all neoplasms were 115 (observed deaths (Obs) 3976) and 119 (Obs 1129) respectively. Statistically significant excesses were found for cancer of the stomach (Obs 124, expected deaths (Exp) 92.5, SMR 134, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 111-160) and cancer of the lung (Obs 551, Exp 378.3, SMR 146, 95% CI 134-158). A raised SMR (153) was also found for non-malignant diseases of the respiratory system. Classifications of jobs attracting either higher dust or higher fume exposures did not usefully predict these increased SMRs. Poisson regression was used to investigate risks of mortality from all cancers, cancer of the stomach, cancer of the lung, and non-malignant diseases of the respiratory system associated with duration of employment in the foundry area, the fettling shop, the foundry area/fettling shop, and the industry in general. Monotonic dose-response relations were not found, although there were positive trends for lung cancer and employment in the foundry area/fettling shop (1.0, 1.21, 1.44, 1.26) and for diseases of the respiratory system and employment in the fettling shop (1.0, 1.37, 1.18, 1.35). CONCLUSIONS--Confident interpretation of the causes of the raised SMRs was not possible. There was limited evidence of an occupational role in the excesses of lung cancer and diseases of the respiratory system. Smoking history was shown, in an indirect way, to be an unlikely explanation.
机译:目的-目的是描述铸钢厂工人的特定原因死亡率,并确定经验的任何部分是否可能是由于职业造成的。设计-历史前瞻性队列研究。地点-英格兰有9家钢铁铸造厂,苏格兰有1家钢铁铸造厂。 SUBJECTS--10,438男生产工人于1946-65年期间首次受雇,最低雇用期为一年。主要观察指标-1946-90年期间可观察和预期的死亡人数。结果-与英格兰和威尔士的总人口相比,所有原因和所有肿瘤的标准死亡率(SMR)分别为115(观察到的死亡(Obs)3976)和119(Obs 1129)。发现胃癌(Obs 124,预期死亡(Exp)92.5,SMR 134,95%置信区间(95%CI)111-160)和肺癌(Obs 551,Exp 378.3,SMR)在统计上有显着过量146,95%CI 134-158)。还发现呼吸系统非恶性疾病的SMR升高(153)。吸引更多粉尘或更多烟雾的工作类别无法有效预测这些SMR的增加。使用Poisson回归来调查所有癌症,胃癌,肺癌和呼吸系统非恶性疾病的死亡风险,这些风险与铸造地区,养鸡场,铸造地区/商店,以及整个行业。尽管铸造厂/养育场的肺癌和就业呈积极趋势(1.0、1.21、1.44、1.26),养育场的呼吸系统疾病和就业呈积极趋势(1.0),但未发现单调剂量-反应关系。 ,1.37、1.18、1.35)。结论-无法对SMR升高的原因进行一致的解释。在肺癌和呼吸系统疾病的过度流行中,职业作用的证据有限。间接表明吸烟史是一个不太可能的解释。

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