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Effectiveness of the Cigarette Ignition Propensity Standard in Preventing Unintentional Residential Fires in Massachusetts

机译:香烟着火倾向标准在防止马萨诸塞州意外住宅火灾中的有效性

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摘要

Objectives. We evaluated the Massachusetts Fire Safe Cigarette Law’s (FSCL’s) effectiveness in preventing residential fires.Methods. We examined unintentional residential fires reported to the Massachusetts Fire Incident Reporting System from 2004 to 2010. We analyzed FSCL effect on the likelihood of cigarette- versus noncigarette-caused fires and effect modification by fire scenario factors by using an interrupted time series regression model. We analyzed the effect of FSCL on monthly fire rates with Poisson regression.Results. Cigarettes caused 1629 unintentional residential fires during the study period. The FSCL was associated with a 28% (95% confidence interval = 12%, 41%) reduction in the odds of cigarette- versus noncigarette-caused fires, although not in analyses restricted to casualty fires, with smaller sample size. The largest reductions were among fires in which human factors were involved; that were first ignited on furniture, bedding, or soft goods; that occurred in living areas; or that occurred in the summer or winter.Conclusions. The FSCL appears to have decreased the likelihood of cigarette-caused residential fires, particularly in scenarios for which the ignition propensity standard was developed. Current standards should be adopted, and the need for strengthening should be considered.
机译:目标。我们评估了马萨诸塞州《防火卷烟法》(FSCL)在预防住宅火灾方面的有效性。方法。我们检查了2004年至2010年间向马萨诸塞州火灾事故报告系统报告的意外住宅火灾。我们使用间断时间序列回归模型,分析了FSCL对香烟与非香烟引起的火灾可能性的影响以及火灾场景因素对效果的影响。我们使用Poisson回归分析了FSCL对每月火灾率的影响。在研究期间,香烟引起了1629起意外的住宅火灾。 FSCL与卷烟和非卷烟引起的火灾的可能性相比降低了28%(95%置信区间= 12%,41%),尽管在分析中不限于伤亡火灾,且样本量较小。减少幅度最大的是涉及人为因素的大火;首先在家具,床上用品或纺织品上被点燃的东西;发生在居住区;或发生在夏季或冬季。结论。 FSCL似乎减少了由香烟引起的住宅火灾的可能性,特别是在制定了点火倾向标准的情况下。应采用现行标准,并应考虑加强的需要。

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