安徽省商品房销售价格和CPI关系的实证分析

摘要

搜集2003~2016年安徽省商品房销售价格和居民消费价格指数CPI的季度数据,通过单位根检验、协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验等方法对安徽省商品房销售价格和CPI的关系进行实证分析.结果表明:商品房销售价格和居民消费价格指数CPI有相互促进的作用,并基于得到的结论提出相关建议.%We collected commercial housing sales prices and consumer price index's quarterly data from 2003 to 2016 in Anhui province through the unit root test, cointegration test, error correction model and granger causality test and other methods.We analyzed the relationship of the commercial housing sales price and CPI in Anhui.The results showed that the commercial housing sales prices and consumer price index has the effect of mutual promotion, and we put forward relevant suggestions based on the conclusion.