靶场测控装备状态及故障预测方法

摘要

Management & control and state prediction for range’s TT&C equipment plays an important role in test task,and is also a tendency of research and application. A state prediction method for range’s TT&C equipment is proposed in this paper. The network relationship for equipment structure is constructed. Ac-cording to electronic parts and components’ life rules, a distribution function for state abnormality is de-signed and the prediction model for discrete state variable is established,and corresponding prediction flow and method are presented. The simulation indicates that the proposed method is valid, and it also offers technical support for improving equipment reliability during test task.%靶场测控装备的管控与状态预测对于确保靶场试验任务的顺利开展有着重要的意义，也是状态/故障处理研究领域的发展方向。结合装备结构关系网络，通过对状态信号的分析，给出了靶场测控设备单元的状态预测方法。依据电子元器件寿命规律，结合状态异常出现的分布函数，重点构建了离散型状态变量的预测模型，提出了相应的预测流程和方法。仿真计算表明，提出的状态及故障预测模型和方法有效，可为提高任务期间装备的可靠性提供判断依据。