FDI与中国省际能源消费强度间关系的动态分析

摘要

This paper constructs VAR model and Panel regression model in which industrial structure and GDP per capita are the controlled variable,and then uses the provincial data of China from 1995 to 2008 to study empirically the relationship between FDI and energy consumption intensity in China. It draws the following conclusions ~ there is the significant positive relationship between FDI scale and energy consumption intensity,but the effect decreases quickly with the time,the effect of FDI scale on energy consumption intensity is around 4. 3% ;there exists the significant inverted-U relationship between FDI scale and energy consumption intensity.%建立了能源消费强度和FDI规模的面板VAR模型和面板计量模型，采用1995--2008年中国省际面板数据，对能源消费强度和FDI规模之间的动态关系进行了实证研究。结果显示：FDI规模对能源消费强度有显著的正向效应；FDI规模对能源消费强度的影响保持在4．3％左右；FDI规模和能源消费强度之间呈典型的倒U型关系，说明能源消费强度随着FDI规模的增加而呈先增加后降低的趋势。